Egypt’s Future Dependence on Fossil Fuels: Five Policy Scenarios
Percent (%)
Renewable Target40: In this scenario, the country targets a minimum of 20% renewable energy based power generation by 2020 and 40% by 2050.
Reference scenario: This scenario demonstrates a continuance of existing energy economic dynamics without any policy changes.
Limited gas production: This scenario evaluates impacts of a reduction in Egypt’s natural gas production for power generation. This scenario considers a 2% growth of natural gas production for power generation until 2050 compared to the historic increase of 2.8%.
CO mitigation: This scenario evaluates technology choices that explicitly reduce CO emissions. We simulate a 5% CO emissions mitigation rate by 2020, 10% by 2030, and 25% by 2050.
Renewable Target30: In this scenario, the country targets a minimum of 20% renewable energy based power generation by 2020 and 30% by 2050. This policy option is based on Egypt’s Vision 2030 plan.
Hover for more information
Reference scenario
Limited gas production
CO
mitigation
Renewable Target30
Renewable Target40
Fossil Fuel Dependency (%)
100
80
60
40
2016
2020
2025
2030
2035
2040
2045
2050
*Percentage of Egypt’s total energy generated from fossil fuels, based on projected demand and scenarios employing different mixes of policy options to generate energy from different sources.
2
2
2
2
100
80
60
40
Percent (%)
Dependency on Fossil Fuels (%)
2016
2050
Reference scenario
Limited gas production
CO
mitigation
2
Renewable Target30
Renewable Target40
Renewable Target40: In this scenario, the country targets a minimum of 20% renewable energy based power generation by 2020 and 40% by 2050.
Renewable Target30: In this scenario, the country targets a minimum of 20% renewable energy based power generation by 2020 and 30% by 2050. This policy option is based on Egypt’s Vision 2030 plan.
CO mitigation: This scenario evaluates technology choices that explicitly reduce CO emissions. We simulate a 5% CO emissions mitigation rate by 2020, 10% by 2030, and 25% by 2050.
2
2
2
Limited gas production: This scenario evaluates impacts of a reduction in Egypt’s natural gas production for power generation. This scenario considers a 2% growth of natural gas production for power generation until 2050 compared to the historic increase of 2.8%.
Reference scenario: This scenario demonstrates a continuance of existing energy economic dynamics without any policy changes.
*Percentage of Egypt’s total energy generated from fossil fuels, based on projected demand and scenarios employing different mixes of policy options to generate energy from different sources.
Egypt’s Future Dependence on Fossil Fuels: Five Policy Scenarios